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For all the concerns over the election and inflation, the markets and the economy performed better than expected by the time the ball dropped in Times Square.
At the close of the third quarter, we also find the markets flourishing with the 3 main indices trading at or near all high time highs.
The resiliency of the economy is still front and center of the economic conversation.
There’s a lot of debate over when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates and if we will have a recession at all.
As quickly as interest rates jumped in the third quarter, they retreated substantially in the 4th quarter.
Like my fig tree, technology stocks, among other overvalued companies, were clipped in the third quarter, hopefully leading to a healthier market.
With the lengthening of this cycle, the gains this year may be premature, and we potentially could experience a pullback in the market.
The rapid rise in interest rates has been met with some unintended consequences.
As we entered 2022, we knew that the Fed needed to aggressively address inflation once again.
This is a difficult market, plain and simple. All major U.S. indices hit a new low for the year on the last day of the quarter.
In the past, the Fed has been very cautious not to upset the stock market. However, with inflation at current levels, it doesn’t have that luxury.
